Remember The Emergent Effects of Climate Change
HERE is what I do not get about the “contrarian on climate change crowd” from Eddie’s:
How can you operate under the assumption that climate change will have linear results?
We are literally talking about the most complex global system known to man. Frankly, I do not think we have enough information – we can not unless we tap into the entirety of the biosphere – and so we are forced to operate with the understanding that the emergent effects of a shift in equilibrium will be nonlinear. Restated: that climate change places existential pressure on humanity.
If the alarmists are wrong, we accelerated a positive feedback loop unnecessarily, expending treasure without cause. If we are right, we staved off the negative feedback – extinction.Dan is willing to make that call in favor of the former. He argues for those resources to be better spent on bringing the rest of the world online. This assumes we know what is coming – linearity. I do not agree; the costs of the systemic feedback are too high to operate with anything more an assumption of baseline knowledge.
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