Dying Television Networks?

Conglomerates are flailing. The real question is wether we’ll finally see advertising die…

24. November 2008 by Shlok Vaidya
Categories: Thinking | Tags: , | 3 comments

Global Arteries Are Constricting

MAJOR shipping companies are beginning to cut capacity and consolidate services to cope with slowing demand and sinking freight rates.

24. November 2008 by Shlok Vaidya
Categories: Thinking | Tags: , | Leave a comment

Fed = Fail

GM may not make the best cars, but Citi and other banks sold products that were terrible, destructive, that resulted in huge losses and are wrecking economies, damage crappy cars could never inflict (environmentalists might quibble, but never has so much seeming wealth evaporated in so little time, and with the main culprits readily identified). They paid huge bonuses, yet their 2004-mid 2007 earnings have been wiped out by subsequent losses. But while UAW workers will have to give up on deals cut earlier, in terms of health care and pension promises (entered into, by the way, to bridge difference over wage levels), I guarantee no Wall Street denizen of the peak years will have to cough up one penny of his bonus from those days.

24. November 2008 by Shlok Vaidya
Categories: Thinking | Tags: , | Leave a comment

Global Trends 2025 Downloadable Here

Lots of people having trouble with the offical site. I mirrored it here.

Frankly, it’s not worth the hard drive space: India and China are rising (due to a “growing middle class”), as are non-state actors, continued growth will be a problem, catastrophic terror attacks are more likely, but terrorism can be solved with greater economic growth in the Middle East,  Russia’s gonna be big too, “state capitalism” works. We’ll be powerful because of our focus on security and DoD and IC in 15 years too.

Update: Jeff explains why this one should have been better:

“In addition to increasing still more the participation of non-USG experts from the United States and abroad to develop the framework for the current study, we shared several drafts with participants via the Internet and a series of discussion sessions across the US and in several other countries.”

I wasn’t approached. Was anyone else?

21. November 2008 by Shlok Vaidya
Categories: Thinking | Tags: , | 3 comments

Obama’s Transition Insiders

Brooks is impressed with the quality of the insiders being brought into the fold. The real question, one that’s going unscrutinized, is wether or not this collection of talking heads will have quality staffers – smart, motivated, and full of ideas.

The other route, more often taken than not: insider pools like this turn into insulur pools, isolated from both reality and their own hierarchies – staffers turn into glorified interns, and DC spirals off into irrelevance again.

21. November 2008 by Shlok Vaidya
Categories: Thinking | Tags: , | 2 comments

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