Winer on Facebook’s Strategy
Brilliant take. The Icarus/Jenga strategy.
We’re about to enter a phase when one vendor tries to break out from the rest, the way DEC did in the age of mini-computers, the way IBM did with the PC, the way Microsoft did in graphic operating systems, and the way Google did in what we may come to refer to as the web.
We’re now headed into new territory, and Facebook is making a bold bid, maybe the boldest one ever, to dominate.
But it won’t work, it can’t, they’re up against forces that are inexorable. Every time through the loop the bidder gets a little further, only to fall to earth once again.
-Shlok
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